Skip to content

CIPHER Conferences

CIPHER 2025

CIPHER 2025 was held at USC’s Capital Campus in Washington, D.C. on February 26 – 28.

Presentations and Agenda

The program with the bios of speakers can be accessed here.

PresenterPresentation (PDF)Link to Recording
UAS Session A: Applications of UAS Data
Natasha WasimUsing panel data to assess changes in food insecurity following the end of pandemic-era SNAP benefits in Los Angeles County: Predictors and policy implicationsRecording
Wändi Bruine de Bruin Medicare Part D beneficiaries’ self-reported barriers to switching plans and making plan comparisons at all: Insights from interviews and surveysRecording
Michael TraugottMotivated Reasoning and Acceptance of Poll Results on a Health Policy IssueRecording
Shaun GilyardBudgeting for Bills: The Impact on Daily SpendingRecording
UAS Session B: Applications: Experiments and Technology in Probability Panels
Elizabeth SuhayJennifer HochschildDemocrats and Republicans Grant Scientists Authority if They Think Scientific Consensus Supports Their Policy PreferencesRecording
Evan W. SandlinPerception and “Reality:” How Three Self-Report Measures of Physical Activity Compare to Data from WearablesRecording
Shiyang SimaDetection of Infectious Disease using Wearable Sensors – Experience from UAS’s American Life in RealtimeRecording
Andrew ParkerDeveloping a monthly panel of extreme weather experiences for testing a theory of adult age differences in emotional well-beingRecording
Session 1: Performance of Probability-Based Panels
Gregor ČehovinComparing Probability-Based and Nonprobability Web Panels to Traditional Probability-Based Surveys: Analyzing Bias in Survey EstimatesRecording
Vera MessingBence SágváriComparing online panels recruited through probability-based face-to-face and push-to-web surveysRecording
Andrew MercerThe performance of probability-based online panels in election polling: Lessons from 2020 and 2024Recording
Alexandra CronbergComparison of probabilistic and non-probabilistic samples in the European Training and Learning Survey: To what extent are there systematic differences?Recording
Session 2: Performance of Probability-Based Panels: Sample Blending
Randall K. ThomasDouble the Data, Double the Insight?: Blending Two Different Probability-based Samples with Differing Levels of BiasRecording
Megan A. HendrichSample Smoothie: Blending Probability-based and Non-probability Samples with Differing BiasRecording
Andy PeytchevEvaluating Error from the Addition of Web Panel Data to a National Probability-Based Interviewer-Administered SurveyRecording
Session 3: Introducing the THRIVE Panel
Katherine CarmanAlycia ChinDavid ZimmermanJonathan CookIntroducing THRIVE: Goals, Structure, and Quarterly MetricsTHRIVE for Survey Methodology: Involvement in Household Financial Decisions and Perceptions of the Securities MarketsInvestor Testing on Fee MetersTrust in financial servicesRecording
Lunch Session – DECIPHER
Benjamin PhillipsCarina CornesseMarcel DasDavid DutwinJon A. KrosnickAnna LethborgCameron McPheeAndrew MercerDina NeigerDECIPHER: Do End-users Consign Importance to ‘Probability-based’ for Household Electronic ResearchRecording
Session 4: Innovations in Data Collection Methods in Probability Panels
Lisa Bondo AndersenInvestigating Components of Tourangeau’s Cognitive Response Model in Survey Responses through Mouse TrackingRecording
Nikki L. GrafTesting Self-Administration of the Consumer Expenditure Diary Survey in a Probability-Based Online Panel
Ailin LiuExamining Survey Mouse Movements as Indicators of Individual Cognitive FunctioningRecording
Marco AngrisaniCaregivers’ Daily Experiences Measured by Online Surveys, EMA, and Fitbit Data: Documenting Differential Participation in a Population Representative SampleRecording
Francis (Frank) GravesEvolving Impacts of Shifts in Institutional Trust on Panel Representation
Session 5: Data Quality in Panels: Question Format, Open-Ended Questions, and Attention Checks
Sebastian LundmarkJon A. KrosnickDoes Succeeding on Attention Checks Moderate Treatment Effects?Recording
Ting YanThe Effectiveness of Question Format to Reduce Motivated Misreporting Within and Across Waves of a Longitudinal SurveyRecording
Gradon NichollsUsing Large Language Models to Catch Mistakes in Coding of Open-Ended Survey QuestionsRecording
Darby SteigerBeyond the Numbers: Methodological Considerations for Integrating Qualitative Research into a Probability PanelRecording
Session 6: Sustaining Panelists’ Interest and Engagement
Kyle BertaWhiplash? Measuring the impact of including numerous unrelated topics on Omnibus surveys conducted on a probability-based panelRecording
JoNell StroughCan Taylor Swift Boost Respondent Engagement in Longitudinal, Online Panels?Recording
Anna LethborgMaking Membership Meaningful: Strategies for fostering a sense of belonging and commitment among probability-based panellistsRecording
Margie StricklandUnlocking Rich Insights: Navigating the Challenges of Sustaining Longitudinal Passive Behavioral PanelsRecording
Session 7: Innovations to Improve Panel Management
Michael LinkHarnessing the Power of Large Language Models (LLMs) in Probability-Based Survey Panels: Opportunities, Challenges, and Navigation StrategiesRecording
Jan Karem HöhneHow does smartphone participation in probability-based web surveys differ across Europe?Preprint PaperRecording
Benjamin PhillipsUsing propensity scores for adaptive in-field managementRecording
Nick BertoniAmplifying the Voice of Panel Members with the help of Gen AI to Improve Recruitment MaterialsRecording
Session 8: Issues in Recruitment
Joke DepraetereRecruiting Hard-to-Reach Populations in KnowledgePanel Europe: Strategies and ChallengesRecording
Ellyn MaesePractical Lessons for Recruiting Hispanic Respondents to Probability-Based PanelsRecording
Andreja PračekOptimal Recruitment Strategy for a Probability-Based Web Panel – Cost and Error IntegrationRecording
Session 9: Applications of Probability-Based Panels
Joris MulderOnline Behavioral Experiments in the LISS panel using oTreeRecording
Marcel VoiaI Am So Tired! I Don’t Know What To Do! Fatigue and Financial Literacy: Results from a Randomized ExperimentRecording
Duygu Basaran SahinCapturing adults’ familiarity with financial fraud through natural language processing: Relationships with targeting, engagement, and victimizationRecording
Russell CastañedaUtilising online probability panels for pan-European policy research on digital skills and labour market transitionRecording
Lunch Keynote
David DutwinLifting the Veil: Considering Deep Transparency in Household Internet PanelsRecording
Session 10: Engagement, Participation Rates, and Attrition Risk
Emilio RiveraSMS Survey Recruitment Methods on Members of a Probability-Based Panel: Assessing a Decade of SMS Research Using the Gallup PanelRecording
Jasmine MitchellHow do household panel members react to multiple requests for different types of additional data over time?Recording
Mickey JacksonBuilding a Real-Time Attrition Risk Score for Probability PanelistsRecording
Htay-Wah SawAnalyzing the causal effect of survey burden on nonresponse in probability-based online panels among new panel respondentsRecording
Session 11: Issues in Recruitment II
Casey EgglestonQR Codes in the Census Household PanelRecording
Mansour FahimiBeyond Incentives and Follow Up Attempts – Pragmatic Methods for Increasing Response RatesRecording
Ipek BilgenThe effect of equitable contact mailing strategies on panel recruitment, retention, and data qualityRecording
Ashley KirzingerInnovating by including “pay-as-you-go” phones in combination with household panelsRecording

Keynote

David Dutwin, Senior Vice President of Strategic Initiatives and Chief Scientist of AmeriSpeak at NORC at the University of Chicago, delivered the keynote entitled “Lifting the Veil: Considering Deep Transparency in Household Internet Panels.”

Sponsorship

CIPHER is supported by funding from the Social Security Administration and the National Institute on Aging under grant U01AG077280. The reception for all attendees is generously sponsored by FINRA Foundation

Scientific Committee

Arie Kapteyn, Jill Darling, Marco Angrisani, Tania Gutsche, and Francisco Perez-Arce (USC Center for Economic and Social Research); and Jan Karem Höhne (DZHW, Leibniz University Hannover).

Planning Committee

Tania Gutsche, Tarra Kohli, Lila Rabinovich, Blake Palomino, Jessica Lozano, and Pamela Tyler (USC Center for Economic and Social Research).

For questions, please email Tarra Kohli ([email protected]; [email protected]).